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"History will be kind to me, for I intend to write it."-Winston S. Churchill

"The wandering scholars were bound by no lasting loyalties, were attached by no sentiment of patriotism to the states they served and were not restricted by any feeling of ancient chivalry. They proposed and carried out schemes of the blackest treachery."-C.P. Fitzgerald.

Thursday, October 07, 2004

Apologies 


...for not having posted over the last week. I spent so much time reading the news that I failed to comment on it.


A short blurb on Cheney-Edwards. Dick Cheney beat John Edwards around that auditorium like a rented mule. Cheney sounded more authoritative and was in much greater command of his facts. Others disagree, but the consensus of the Conservative bloggers is that Cheney took Edwards' milk money. I find myself in agreement with them.


A good thing for Bush, this. Bush's performance last week was good enough, but not good enough to win the election. Naturally, the Ministry of Truth was anxious to write the meme of the "Kerry Comeback", so they beat the "John Kerry won" storyline like a used bass drum. And yet, as we go into tomorrow's "Town Hall" debate, we find ourselves with Bush between two and five points in front of Kerry, depending on which poll you look at. Cheney's achievement was to raise in voters' minds Edwards' qualification for the Presidency. Implicitly, this calls into question Kerry's judgement. But there is something else.


The media beat up on poor old George W. last week so much that they set the bar too high for Kerry. The Kerry people didn't want this, but now they have to deal with it. Kerry literally has to beat Bush to a pulp tomorrow night; that, he will not do. If Bush puts in a good performance, he does "better than expected". That stops Kerry's momentum (or what is left of it after Cheney got through with Edwards) cold, and could be a morale killer for Kerry's base.


Look for Bush to do well tomorrow.


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