Saturday, August 07, 2004
(Hat tip: Instapundit)
Well, I read it, and was amazed. Tacitus never fails to disappoint. Today, he peeled back John Kerry's onion on Iraq in this masterful post that parses a Kerry-Edwards interview into an admission that Kerry intends to turn Iraq into nothing less than a shameless bugout.
Kerry will withdraw from Iraq anyway, no matter what the consequence. Therein lies the nub, and I strongly suspect that Bush knows this. Kerry believes that he can pursue this policy with no consequence; I believe him to be a fool.
Bravo, Tacitus. Well done.
Friday, August 06, 2004
The Kerry Campaign has made the Senator's service in Vietnam the distinguishing characteristic of the Senator's career. This should surprise noone, as the Senator's legislative career reminds one of what Mr. Churchill said of Clement Atlee:
"He is a modest man, who has much to be modest about."
When this ad, sponsored by Swift Boat Veterans for the Truth, came out, the alarm bells must have gone off in the Kerry camp. They responded swiftly, as it were, accusing the Swift Vets of ginning up a lie for the Bush campaign. For its part, the Bush people distanced themselves from the ad without denouncing it, insisting that the ads from all 527 groups should be banned.
All of this is somewhat delicious to me. Earlier this year, John Kerry, his campaign, the Democratic Party, and their outriders in the Mainstream Media, spent enormous amounts of bandwidth and felled untold numbers of trees in an attempt to smear the President's service record. They came up with a big, fat nothing of course, but they despised George Bush so much that they had to give it the old college try. Later, they spent upwards of 62 million dollars in advertising in an attempt to attack the President, his reputation, his family, and his stewardship of the nation in time of war.
I have no sympathy for Kerry at this point. His pleas fall on deaf ears; what goes around comes around, as it were. Kerry had plenty of time during the winter and spring to insist that his partisans should not stoop to the level of vitriol that has been characteristic of the likes of Michael Moore, MoveOn.org, and George Soros' political plaything, AmericaComingTogether. John Kerry chose not to denounce the haters, because the Senator guessed that he needed to keep his partisans ginned up through the fall.
I suspect that this was a bad guess. And it coincides with that other major miscalculation of Kerry's campaign: it's obsession with Vietnam. If all Kerry has to offer is his biography and that biography is open to question, then the entire raison d'etre of Kerry's campaign comes tumbling down. This is Kerry's own fault, of course. His "band of brothers" campaign, his use of Max Cleland as a prop, and his attempt to smear the President's own service record were bound to come back and haunt him. And so they have.
Monday, August 02, 2004
I will take time to examine Kerry's speech and where it leaves the campaign in a later post. Suffice it to say that the horserace numbers are looking much better for Bush than they were about a month ago. Bush's people expected him to be ten to fifteen points down by this time, not up by five in Gallup. Gallup's poll may be an outlier, as ABC, CBS, and Rasmussen tend to give Kerry a lead. However, the lead is at most five points. Karl Rove couldn't have written a better script.
For the Kerry campaign, this has to be bad mojo. Something Kerry said during his acceptance speech did not resonate with the Mushy Middle that decides elections. Jay Reding, writing over at Red State.org, says that we may be witnessing the arrival of the "9/11 Democrats", as they rise to turn away from their party's nominee this time out. Personally, I believe that Kerry jumped the shark when he insisted that he would respond forcefully to any attack on the United States.
Which implies that he would wait for the attack to occur.
I have a sneaking hunch that the pivot point of this campaign occured on the night of Kerry's speech, as his oration wandered into a terrain of Bush's choosing. Kerry followed this up with his famous assertion of a "secret plan" to bring the troops home from Iraq.
As opposed to victory over the Ba'athists and their jihadist allies, of course.
John Kerry can't quite get out of this trap of his own devising, nor will Bush's people let him. Americans love winners and winning, and will not tolerate being associated with a shameless bugout, no matter how liesurely it is conducted. Kerry has resurrected the Democrats as the party of Peace at any Price. What he never understood was that all the flags, all the generals onstage, and all the testimonials of long-ago courage alter the nature of the Democratic Party. Kerry is not an aberration; he is a creature of his party and its sentiments.
I strongly suspect that we have seen the high watermark of the Kerry-Edwards campaign.