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"History will be kind to me, for I intend to write it."-Winston S. Churchill

"The wandering scholars were bound by no lasting loyalties, were attached by no sentiment of patriotism to the states they served and were not restricted by any feeling of ancient chivalry. They proposed and carried out schemes of the blackest treachery."-C.P. Fitzgerald.

Saturday, October 30, 2004

Megan McArdle 


...is not voting for Michael Badnarik this year. Instead, she goes to the intellectual laundromat to give her reasons for endorsing George W. Bush for reelection. Read the whole thing, as always.


Wretchard's take... 

...is that the bin Laden video is merely a gussied upappeal for an armistice. Money graph:
It is important to notice what he has stopped saying in this speech. He has stopped talking about the restoration of the Global Caliphate. There is no more mention of the return of Andalusia. There is no more anticipation that Islam will sweep the world. He is no longer boasting that Americans run at the slightest wounds; that they are more cowardly than the Russians. He is not talking about future operations to swathe the world in fire but dwelling on past glories. He is basically saying if you leave us alone we will leave you alone. Though it is couched in his customary orbicular phraseology he is basically asking for time out.


Read the whole thing.

Intermission 


The Bin Laden Endorsement of John Kerry is producing nothing but headaches for the Massachussetts Senator, but great fun for bloggers. Bin Laden lit into Bush yesterday, using every talking point that Michael Moore had used in Farenheit 9/11, and then some. Here's this bon mot, which appears to come out of MoveOn.org's latest ad...

"You astonish me. Despite the fact that we are into the fourth year after September 11, Bush is still misleading you and hiding the real reason from you, which means that the reasons to repeat what happened remain.


Then there's this gem!

"It never occurred to us that the commander in chief of the US armed forces would leave 50,000 of his citizens in the two towers to face these horrors alone at a time when they were most in need of him.

"He reckoned that it was more important to preoccupy himself with the talk of the little girl about her goat ... than with the planes and their strike on the skyscrapers, giving us three times the time required to carry out the operations, thanks be to God.


If I am Michael Moore, I am pissed! Bin Laden didn't even have the Goddamn common courtesy to send Americas Low-Rent Riefenstahl a residuals check! Looks like Moore will have to pay for that carton of Ding Dongs out of his own pocket next week.

Meantime, other bloggers have found bin Laden charges that should give every voter pause before they punch the card for BushHitler!

"In addition, the infidel George Bush is outsourcing America's future with tax cuts to the wealthy. Where are the 1.6 million jobs? The infidel Bush is the first infidel since the infidel Herbert Hoover to lose jobs! Awake from your slumber, America! The infidel John Kerry has a plan. You can do better, Insha'Allah!"


"Let me tell you, I spoke to the infidel Christopher Reeve a week ago, and if the infidel John Kerry is elected President, Insha'Allah, the infidel Christopher Reeve will walk again!"


"Are you infidels aware that the infidel John Kerry killed infidels in a war of imperialist infidel aggression in Southeast Asia?"


"The infidel Mary Cheney is a lesbian."


Of course, parody points courtesy of the wags over at INDC Journal

This is a freaking gift for Bush; there is no other way to spin it, though I'm sure Josh Marshall and others will try.

Kerry is not a happy man today, that's for sure. Nor should he be.

"The infidels Kerry and Edwards! Building a Stronger Great Satan!"


Thursday, October 28, 2004

Spetznaz 


I will make a further comment on Bill Gertz's piece in the Washington Times later this evening. Suffice to say, it raises several possibilities that I will discuss at length. Bottom line: the key to the Saddam's missing weaponry may lie in the Kremlin, and with their special forces, the Spetznaz Troops.


Wednesday, October 27, 2004

Grand Ayatollah al-Sistani... 


...sure as hell knows how to get out the vote.

From the intrepid Zayed, owner of the Healing Iraq blog, comes a fine example of the Grand Ayatollah's GOTV effort for the January elections. Money graph:

Sayyid Ahmed Al-Safi, a representative of Grand Ayatollah Ali Al-Sistani, reiterated during the Friday prayers sermon at Karbala the call of the Maji'iya for widespread participation and voting in the upcoming elections late January 2005. Al-Safi stressed that 'heavy participation in the voting procedures is a national and legal (religious) duty,' adding that those who refrain from voting would 'enter Jahannam (Hell)'


As Chris Matthews might say, "now that's hardball!

Andrew Sullivan endorsed Kerry yesterday.... 


...and within 24 hours received the Fisking of his life from James Lileks at "The Bleat". Read it and weep.

How come I can't write as good as this guy? Sullivan gets a sound rodgering. Read the whole thing.


Funniest Thing I've seen today.... 


...from my favorite message board, FreeRepublic.com. About our stalwart allies, the French:

Terrorism Alert in France


Posted on 10/27/2004 12:32:27 AM EDT by maui_hawaii


Terrorism Alert in France

AP and UPI reported that the French Government announced yesterday that it has raised its terror alert level from "run" to "hide." The only two higher levels in France are "surrender" and "collaborate."

The raise was precipitated by the recent fire which destroyed one of France's white flag factories, disabling their military.

Tuesday, October 26, 2004

How thou pleasest, God, dispose the day! 


It gets worse.

I want this all to be over. The mania is tearing at the unity the republic needs to pursue this war. Part of this I blame on the President, of course. A more bipartisan approach to the war would have led to greater unity as we pursued various aspects of the campaign, but the craven desire for power among all things on the Left is the distinct memory I will take from this campaign.

I believe on this night that George Bush will win reelection. I believe this despite the last, best attempt on the part of the Partisan media to undo this man. The HMX story is being debunked as we speak. Let me expand:

On Sunday night, the New York Times published a story that stated that the United States had lost track of 350 -380 tons of high explosive compounds known as HMX and RDX respectively. They are used as catalysts for explosive ordinance of many kinds. Wretchard expanded on what might have happened to the stuff, but our concern here is the political game. In short, they were stored at the al-Qaqaa armory, south of Baghdad.

The Times apparently received the tip from Mohammed el-Baradei's office at the U.N.. It appears that he was rather anxious that the U.S. was not going to be supporting his renewed appointment as head of the International Atomic Energy Agency. The U.S. was upset with el-Baradei's conduct during the Libya Weapons affair and the runup to the Iraq campaign. Anyway, the Times got together with CBS News. CBS, according to Matt Drudge was going to blow the story on the Sunday before the election to try and put Kerry over the top, but the Times decided that it wanted to own the story.

Within six hours, the Kerry campaign (which had no doubt been tipped in advance by the Times) was out with coordinated statements. A full press offensive by the MSM, in coordination with Kerry's campaign, began to hammer Bush over the missing explosives. Yet, within 24 hours of the story's breach, several sources within the MSM and in the blogosphere, began to undermine the General Line. Yet Kerry went forward with spots accusing the President of malpractice in office. As we speak, men of the 502nd Parachute Infantry Regiment are coming forward with what happened last April at the Al-Qaqaa armory. One quote (hat tip: Kerry Spot):

From yet another Kerry Spot reader with a ".mil" e-mail address:

You are correct in your bottom line conclusion. Here is a second follow up. I was serving as a [identifying information removed by the Kerry Spot] staff member during the time in question. The Commander on the site had complete real time intelligence on what to expect and possibly find at the Al-QaQaa depot. The ordinance in question was not found when teams were sent in to inspect and secure the area. When this information was relayed, Operational plans were adjusted and the unit moved forward. Had the ordinance in question been discovered, a security team would have been left in place.


Don't expect a fit of intellectual honesty from either the MSM or the Kerry Campaign. They are fundamentally dishonest people in search of the one thing that any man will sell his soul for: power.

Will Bush take the cake? I am guardedly optimistic. He appears to be holding a stubborn 3 point lead going into the middle of this week. He is also on the offensive in Ohio, which may be moving into his pocket as we speak. In closing, read this article at Jay Cost's Horserace Blog. Money quote:

In general, BC04 appears to me to be an ethical, high-tech, more efficient version of the GOTV efforts of the 19th century Philadelphia machine run from Harrisburg by the state’s Republican establishment. This type of organization is particularly suited to Ohio, which is naturally Republican and which presents no comparable competition in GOTV this year. Look for the final partisan breakdowns on Election Day in OH to be much more pro-Republican than the current polling samples. As usual, look for the media to be surprised and the conventional wisdom to be wholly confounded.


That's all for tonight, folks. Der Tag approaches. I am reminded of the closing lines of Henry in Act IV, Scene III of The Life of King Henry V

YORK.
My lord, most humbly on my knee I beg
The leading of the vaward.

KING HENRY.
Take it, brave York. Now, soldiers, march away;
And how thou pleasest, God, dispose the day!


Monday, October 25, 2004

A Week and A Day.... 


...until der Tag.


As usual, our good friend Ray Malone (a.k.a., the "Common Tator") hits a home run. If you look at where the two campaigns are going to spend the next week, you get an idea of whose internal polling looks promising and whose does not. Money graph:

Bush is planning on spending 3/4 of his remaining campaign visits  in  states  Al Gore won. Kerry is doing much the same thing. Kerry is spending most of his time in states that Gore won in 2000.


Here is a truism I have never found to be false.


The final stages of every war and presidential election are fought on the loser's turf.


Indeed, the title of his piece today is, "When Grant took Richmond, was he in the North or the South?"


There is a cold hard fact of politics: you are on the offensive when you are on the enemy's turf. John Kerry is not going to North Carolina or Virginia. Neither is he going to Arkansas or Louisiana. He has just pulled out of Colorado. He gave up on Missouri some time ago. On the other hand, the only Red States that Bush appears to be concerned about seem to be Florida and Ohio.

Zogby came out with two state polls showing Bush up three in Florida and up five in Ohio. Again, the situation is fluid. However, if Martinez is running three points ahead of Castor in the Florida Senate race (Zogby, I believe), then I suspect that Bush has the same margin up on Kerry.

Here in FLA, Kerry has been campaigning. He did the Black Church thing down in Miami a couple of days back. He went to Boca to a ten thousand person event at Florida Atlantic University.

These are safe Kerry areas. That tells me that he is concerned about base turnout. Kerry does not do Sarasota, or Orlando, or Fort Meyers. If he were ahead in Florida he would be poaching in Bush counties. I don't think Kerry is ahead down here, and I suspect that neither does he.

Meantime, Bush raided Broward County last weekend. He went to the Office Depot Center, home of the Florida Panthers. He drew about 12,000 people. He went up to Jacksonville and drew 50,000 people to the Jaguar's football stadium. His events are wall to wall people wherever he goes. There is an energy to the Bush campaign that I see manifested in the crowds.

Other states? Michigan is in play, according to some polls. Zogby appears to regard MI as leaning Kerry, but there must be a reason that Bush has rented out the Pontiac Silverdome. That stadium accomodates 80,000 people. The Bush people said they needed the room. That tells me something, as well. Of course, Ray always says that crowds don't mean much, so I wouldn't read too much into it. But the energy in Bush's campaign is both real and enduring.

Now to be fair, I should point out that Kerry appears to be holding his own in Pennsylvania, although it remains a two-point race going into the last week. I just don't believe that Kerry will take Ohio. I've heard too much from Ray about the Republican ground game. It is amazing. It is something that the Donks have never had to deal with before, and I think that that is what will make the difference.

One last thing: the media. By this time in 1992, the media was full of speculation as to the personnel in the incoming Clinton Administration. I remember a huge Newsweek orgasm celebrating the ascendancy of people like Helen Thomases and, of course, Hillary. There is no such celebration this time. This time, we get columns by Howard Kurtz in the WaPo, asking "What if HE Wins?" (the "He" being the dreaded BushHitler). Nope, behind all the spin is the realization that they may have put all their bets on the wrong horse.


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